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« CHARTS — NOV. 30, 2009 | Main | CHARTS — AUG. 19, 2009 »

AIRCRAFT VALUES NEUTRALIZE AFTER DESCENT

Vol. 22, No. 3 | Aug. 19, 2009 | Go to Charts

by Carl Janssens, ASA | Aircraft Bluebook — Price Digest

Aircraft values reported in the previous quarter were in a spiral dive, but the economy’s pilot now appears to have neutralized the rapid descent.

For the most part, values have arrived at ground level. Inventories have shown signs of stability with little or no growth in units for sale. Other market indicators show signs of neutralization as well. Aircraft dealers and brokers report that interest has increased. Phones are ringing more with potential buyers on the line. Compared to the 2005 baseline real gross domestic product, GDP declined 1.0 percent in the second quarter of 2009 after declining 6.4 percent in the first quarter. These indicators support the signs of neutralization in the marketplace, though the used aircraft market has no reason to rally.

Maybe the market has not yet reached the dawn of a recovery, but the market has absorbed the fallen values. The jet segment is the most volatile portion of the aircraft market. Flight departments that were liquidated are no longer creating a frenzy of drastic value reductions. Manufacturers finding new homes for new aircraft in default maintain nearly full sales values. The only difference is that deposits from contracts in default allow discounts to the new buyers. Once these sales are complete, the discounts will end.

Jet

Bluebook-at-a-glance
Increased — 143
Decreased — 49
Stable — 665

Bluebook’s attention has focused on late-model large-cabin new deliveries that may take as long as two years or more for interior completion and delivery. Some of the increase in value can be found in the fall edition of Aircraft Bluebook. Examples include the Bombardier Global family as well as the Challenger 605 and Dassault Falcon 900 and 2000 series.

Turboprop

Bluebook-at-a-glance
Increased — 75
Decreased — 114
Stable — 399

Socata fared better in this reporting period. Sales demonstrated that values were better than previously reported; therefore, stronger values appear in the new release of Bluebook. Turboprop ag planes continue to demonstrate improved values with limited inventories available in the world market. The Piaggio was up 9 percent from the previous quarter as well.

Multi

Bluebook-at-a-glance
Increased — 0
Decreased — 110
Stable — 545

For the most part, values remained unchanged for this reporting period in the multipiston category. Nothing increased in value. Most late models held on to their values without loss. Early model Cessnas as well as some Twin Commanders trended downward slightly.

Single

Bluebook-at-a-glance
Increased — 117
Decreased — 220
Stable — 2108

Ag planes kept a positive note in the single category. Select models experienced modest increases. Some of the decreases included American Champions, such as the 8-KCAB, and Beech 35. Both were reported down from the previous quarter. For the most part, however, most single-engine pistons remained steady for this reporting period.

Helicopter

Bluebook-at-a-glance
Increased — 4
Decreased — 828
Stable — 177

Helicopter values experienced a decline in this quarter. Part of the decline may relate to lower values on earlier models with limited mission capabilities when compared to newer helicopters. Early-model Sikorsky aircraft as well as Bell and Eurocopter models were down. Decreases averaged 8 percent or more. In the piston category, values were lower, too.

Aircraft Bluebook — Price Digest here for you

Please contact Aircraft Bluebook if you have any specific concern in a particular aircraft market. We will be happy to share with you the most up-to-date information available for your market segment. Call us toll free at 877-531-1450 or direct at 913-967-1913.

[Go to Charts.]

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